Climate Change Frameworks  – Kyoto Protocol and Paris Climate Deal

This article deals with ‘Climate Change Frameworks  – Kyoto Protocol and Paris Climate Deal – UPSC.’ This is part of our series on ‘Environment’, an important pillar of the GS-3 syllabus. For more articles on Science and technology, you can click here.


Stand 1: India wants developed countries to reduce their carbon space for developing countries to grow. For example, India’s per capita carbon emissions are one-third of the global average. Hence, developed countries should reduce their carbon emissions so that developing countries can grow. 


Stand 2: Since India’s contribution to the world’s cumulative emissions is less than 4%, it should be provided a greater share of the remaining carbon budget. Simultaneously, developed countries should strive towards sustainable consumption, acknowledging their historical consumption of carbon budget. 


Climate Change Frameworks  - Kyoto Protocol and Paris Climate Deal

UNFCCC is an inter-governmental treaty that opened for signature at the ‘Rio Earth Summit’ in 1992 and entered into force in 1994.

Objectives of UNFCCC

  1. Stabilize the GHG concentration in the atmosphere to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with climate systems.
  2. Ensure global food production is not threatened.
  3. Enable sustainable economic development.

Operating Mechanism of UNFCCC

  1. Conference of Parties (COP): All the countries that are parties to the convention meet every year at the Conference of Parties, which acts as the supreme decision-making body of the convention.
  2. Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (CMP): It oversees the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol.
  3. Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Paris Agreement(CMA): It oversees the implementation of the Paris Agreement. 

  • The Kyoto Protocol is an international treaty established as a result of the 3rd Conference of the Parties (CoP) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) held in Kyoto, Japan, in 1997
  • Its primary objective is to address the issue of global warming by setting specific targets for industrialized nations to reduce their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.
  • The protocol sets a target for industrialized countries to collectively reduce their GHG emissions by approximately 5.2% below the levels recorded in 1990.
  • Kyoto Protocol came into force after the required number of Annex 1 Countries (industrialized nations) ratified it. This milestone was achieved in 2008.
  • The Kyoto Protocol’s first commitment period was from 2008 to 2012. 

  • CBDR suggests that while all nations share the common responsibility to reduce GHG emissions, there should be a distinction in the burden between developed and developing countries.
  • Developed nations, being historical culprits, bear a greater responsibility for emission reduction.
  • The Kyoto Protocol follows this principle.

Annex refers to additional information provided at the end of a book or treaty.

Annex under Kyoto Protocol
Annex A Gases under Kyoto Protocol

Side Topic: More about GHGs

GasGlobal Warming PotentialLifetime yrsRelative Contribution to Global Warming
CO2150-20060%
CH4211220%
Nitrous oxide3101206%
HFCs140-12001-27014%
PFCs6500-9200800-50,000Rank 5
SF623,9003200Rank 6

  • Under the Kyoto Protocol, every Annex 1 country was given a specific number of Kyoto Units called Target Quota. E.g. in 2009, Australia was given approximately 3 Billion Kyoto units (1 Kyoto Unit= 1 ton of CO2) 
  • If Australia limits their emissions within the target range, everything is well & good. The approach of the Australian government should be to take all steps so that they don’t cross the quota. E.g.
    • They can promote Solar energy and wind energy. 
    • Increase tax on polluting vehicles and industry.
    • Make strict Anti-pollution laws. 
  • But if the country fails to limit GHG emissions within Target Quota, then the country will have to buy additional units from another country. Kyoto Protocol has 3 mechanisms for this.
How the Kyoto Protocol really works
  • Each Annex 1 country gives a fixed quota to companies. 
    • Suppose an Iron factory was given 10 tons of GHG. 
    • Tyre company was also given 10 tons of GHG.
  • If the tyre company owner increases the efficiency and uses less than given Kyoto Units, he will have some spare quota. Suppose the Iron Company owner needs more Quotas due to an increase in demand or any other factor. In this case, the Iron company owner can purchase the spare quota of the Tyre company. It is called Emission trading.
  • Countries in Annex 1 can also do the same thing at national level if they think that they are breaching the limits.
Emission Trading
  • Suppose an Annex 1 country like the UK is given a quota of 500 units but emits 520 units of GHG. In this case, the UK can finance a solar or wind project in India or any other non-annex country. They will get a certificate that it led to a reduction of 20 units of GHG to remain within their limit.
  • Companies in Annex 1 country can also do the same thing if that company is breaching their limit. 
  • JI operates similarly to CDM but involves Annex 1 countries conducting emission reduction projects in other Annex 1 countries.
  • In this context, the UK could initiate a beneficial project in another Annex 1 country, such as Australia, to offset excess emissions and earn certified emission reduction credits.

1992Earth Summit was held in Rio de Janeiro, and UNFCCC came into being.
1997Kyoto Protocol signed, setting emission reduction targets for Annex 1 countries.
2008The Kyoto Protocol came into force, but the US, the largest polluter at the time, did not ratify it (alleging that it would impact its economic interests negatively since China and India were not obliged to reduce their emissions)
2009The Copenhagen Accord was signed at CoP-15, held in Copenhagen, where it was agreed that all countries (including developing countries) should pledge to reduce GHG emissions. However, all of the pledges made under the Copenhagen Accord were voluntary.
2011Canada becomes the first country to quit the Kyoto Protocol, arguing its flaws and the exclusion of major emitters like the USA and China.
2015COP21 in Paris delivers the Paris Agreement as successor to the Kyoto Protocol.
4 Nov 2016Paris agreement entered into force, 30 days after being ratified by at least 55 countries representing 55% of global greenhouse gas emissions.

The Kyoto Protocol, established in 1997, marked the initial step in creating a framework for binding emission reduction commitments primarily for developed nations. However, it faced significant challenges, including the absence of major emitters like the United States and China.

The limitations of the Kyoto Protocol underscored the need for a more inclusive and flexible approach that could garner global participation. The Paris Climate Agreement, adopted in 2015 during the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21), emerged as the successor to the Kyoto Protocol.


Limit Global Warming

  • Under the Paris Climate Agreement, 196 nations pledged to collaborate in efforts to restrict global warming, aiming to cap temperature increases at 2 degrees Celsius, with a stretch goal of keeping below 1.5 C (Compromise between Developed nations demanding 2 degrees & Small Island nations demanding 1.5 degrees Celsius).

Emission Cuts

  • Emission Cuts: There is no distinction between Developed & Developing nations wrt emission cuts. Every nation has to cut emissions based on its capability, known as its Nationally Determined Contributions. But there are no penalties for failing to achieve these targets
  • Global Stocktake (Pledge Review):  ‘Global Stocktake’ is a ‘five-yearly review’ of a country’s climate change actions. The first global stocktake happened in 2023.
  • Principle of Progression: Revised targets (after a period of 5 years) can’t be less than targets already submitted. At each round of review, there is an expectation of higher ambitions. 

Finance 

  • Financial Commitment: Developed countries pledged to provide $100 billion annually from 2020 to address climate change issues. Developed countries have succeeded in inserting a provision asking developing countries to also raise financial resources, even as a voluntary effort.
  • Balanced Allocation: Allocation of finances has to be balanced between the mitigation & adaptation needs of developing countries

Regarding Concept of Common But Differentiated Responsibility

  • CBDR Diluted: There is no differentiation between developed and developing nations regarding emission reductions, although distinctions remain in terms of finance and capacity building. Each nation is required to reduce emissions based on its capabilities, indicating a dilution of the CBDR principle. Although CBDR still figures, historical responsibility finds no mention in the text. 

  • Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) is each country’s self-declared plan to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and adapt to climate change. It follows a bottom-up approach, shaped by national circumstances and capacity, aiming collectively to limit warming to 1.5–2°C above pre-industrial levels.
  • NDCs are submitted before ratifying the Paris Agreement; once ratified, they become NDCs (Nationally Determined Contributions) and are legally binding under international law.
  • They are applied equally to both developed and developing countries when ratified.

UNFCCC Ratcheting Mechanism

  • NDCs must be submitted and updated every 5 years, as per the Paris Agreement’s ratchet mechanism
  • In line with this, countries were urged to strengthen their 2030 targets by 2022. India responded by submitting its updated NDC in August 2022

India’s NDC

Drawing inspiration from Gandhi—”Earth provides enough for everyone’s need, not for everyone’s greed”—India’s climate targets have grown more ambitious:

CommitmentOriginal INDC 2015Updated NDC 2022
Emission Intensity33–35% reduction (2005–2030)45% reduction (2005–2030)
Non-fossil Energy Share40% of power capacity50% of installed capacity by 2030
Carbon Sink2.5–3 billion t CO₂ eqSame

Additional qualitative commitments include promoting sustainable lifestyles, climate resilience in vulnerable sectors, and financing mechanisms.

As of July 2025, more than 50% of India’s electricity generation capacity comes from non-fossil fuel sources. Hence, India has achieved commitment #2 five years ahead of schedule.


  • Commitments are voluntary, lack penalties for non-compliance, and set no clear trajectory for limiting global warming below 2 degrees Celsius.
  • The Paris Deal is not legally binding in its entirety, diminishing its effectiveness in ensuring adherence to commitments.
  • The commitments of rich countries are not enough to meet their historical obligations. US comes in for particular blame (26-28% than 2005 levels) 
  • The Paris Agreement calls for decarbonization but doesn’t distinguish between fossil carbon and dynamic forest carbon. Fossil carbon is generally static, whereas trees & forest carbon, which is in an active carbon pool (atmosphere & biosphere), can be easily released through activities such as forest fires 
  • The promise of contributing $100 bn annually to the Green Climate Fund by developed countries is enormously short of what is needed.

  • The European Union (EU) realized a problem: its domestic industries had to follow strict carbon emission rules under the Emissions Trading System (ETS). But imported goods—say, steel from India or cement from China—are not held to the same standards. This created what’s called “carbon leakage”: industries moved production to countries with looser rules to escape EU climate costs.
Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM)
  • To address this issue, the EU introduced CBAM
    • It proposes a carbon tax on imports of carbon-intensive goods like steel, cement, aluminium, fertilisers, and electricity starting from 2026.
    • Importers in the EU will have to equal to the amount of carbon emissions embedded in the goods they bring in. If the product has already been taxed for carbon in the country of origin, that amount will be deducted.
    • The main idea is to ensure that foreign manufacturers do not get an unfair advantage over EU companies.
  • The EU argues this levels the playing field.
  • Concerns of Developing Countries like India:
    • Violates “Common But Differentiated Responsibilities” under the Paris Agreement.
    • Seen as a trade barrier that hurts exports from developing nations.
    • Unilateral in nature – introduced without global consensus.

  • The Global Stocktake (GST) is a formal process under the Paris Agreement to assess whether the world is on track to meet its climate goals, especially the goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C, preferably 1.5°C.
  • It was agreed in the Paris Agreement (2015) that such a review would take place every 5 years, with the first-ever stocktake conducted in 2023 during the COP28 in UAE.
  • The process looks at the collective progress of all countries (not individual country performance) and aims to inform future Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).

Key Highlights of the 2023 Global Stocktake

  • The report confirmed that the world is currently off track to meet the Paris climate targets.
  • To limit warming to 1.5°C, global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions must be reduced by 43% by 2030, compared to 2019 levels.

COP / EventYear & LocationMajor Outcomes / Highlights
COP21 (Paris)2015, ParisParis Agreement adopted — goal to limit warming to well below 2°C, pursue 1.5°C; NDCs introduced; universal participation.
COP22 (Marrakesh)2016, MoroccoMarrakech Action Proclamation to implement Paris Agreement; established “Marrakech Partnership” for climate action.
COP23 (Bonn)2017, Germany (Fiji presided)Fiji-led COP; advancement on rulebook development; focus on vulnerable countries and adaptation.
COP24 (Katowice)2018, PolandKatowice Climate Package adopted — detailed rulebook for Paris Agreement operationalisation; transparency guidelines agreed.
COP25 (Madrid)2019, SpainDelayed decisions on carbon markets (Article 6); calls for increased ambition; discussions on loss & damage finance.
COVID-19 Pandemic Impact2020COP26 postponed to 2021; many countries re-assessed climate ambitions.
COP26 (Glasgow)2021, UKGlasgow Climate Pact: phase down coal, boost finance to developing countries, methane reduction pledge, Article 6 carbon market rules agreed.
U.S. Rejoins Paris Agreement2021U.S. formally rejoins Paris Agreement, submitting updated NDC with higher targets.
COP27 (Sharm El-Sheikh)2022, EgyptEstablished loss and damage fund for vulnerable countries; focus on adaptation finance; continued dialogue on mitigation.
COP28 (Dubai)2023First Global Stocktake to assess collective progress; called for urgent action to close gaps in emissions reductions.
COP29 (Baku)2024, AzerbaijanNew Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG) on climate finance: mobilize $1.3 trillion/year by 2035, immediate $300B/year commitment.
Operationalization of Article 6.4 carbon market mechanism under UN oversight.
Loss & Damage Fund operationalized.
Launch of “Baku Dialogue on Water for Climate Action.”

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